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Red56
108615.3
34629.6
12225.7
Blue36
900314.2
450511.4
337323.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67540204060801005636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
29.61.2
20.118.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End6.9
red by 6.6
3373
#15
23.01.8
28.126.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End6.6
Second
122
#10
25.71.2
22.721.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End7.7
red by 11.5
9003
#19
14.21.8
16.714.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End3.6
Third
1086
#30
15.31.2
18.717.5
Auto5.9
Teleop1.9
End7.5
red by 3.9
4505
#29
11.41.8
7.55.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed