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Red88
210630.7
900314.2
680232.4
Blue51
903321.0
572427.4
5406.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74612040801008851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.2
27.328.5
Auto13.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
red by 5.0
27.42.0
23.321.3
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End7.5
Second
2106
#13
30.71.2
26.027.2
Auto9.9
Teleop14.8
End6.0
red by 9.7
9033
#25
21.02.0
21.219.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Third
9003
#19
14.21.2
14.315.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End3.6
red by 8.1
540
#34
6.22.0
14.612.6
Auto0.8
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed