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Red106
61918.7
445627.1
313631.3
Blue109
42234.0
823027.8
126215.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72744050608090100110106109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.6
30.031.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End7.0
blue by 2.7
422
#12
34.03.3
29.132.4
Auto11.1
Teleop17.2
End5.7
Second
4456
#14
27.11.7
20.822.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.8
blue by 0.6
8230
#11
27.83.6
22.926.5
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
Third
619
#18
18.71.6
16.818.3
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End5.6
red by 3.3
1262
#16
15.43.6
17.521.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned