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Red71
450511.4
62327.1
823027.8
Blue36
210630.7
33597.4
5406.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60542040801001207136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8230
#11
27.81.5
26.528.0
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
blue by 2.9
2106
#13
30.71.5
31.930.4
Auto9.9
Teleop14.8
End6.0
Second
623
#7
27.11.4
21.723.1
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End8.4
red by 19.7
3359
#33
7.41.4
7.05.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End3.7
Third
4505
#29
11.41.4
7.38.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.2
End4.3
red by 5.2
540
#34
6.21.5
12.811.3
Auto0.8
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned10%Activation oddsMissed