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Red60
650420.7
34629.6
5406.2
Blue96
393923.5
859226.9
572427.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5676020401001206096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
29.60.4
28.528.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End6.9
red by 2.1
27.42.2
24.026.2
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End7.5
Second
6504
#28
20.70.4
20.921.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End3.1
blue by 6.1
8592
#17
26.92.0
24.226.3
Auto9.2
Teleop11.1
End6.6
Third
540
#34
6.20.4
5.86.2
Auto0.8
Teleop3.6
End1.8
blue by 17.3
3939
#20
23.52.2
20.722.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsEarned