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Red95
191513.1
680232.4
619424.2
Blue128
236355.2
900314.2
12225.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610020408012014016095128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.4
31.432.7
Auto13.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
blue by 22.8
55.22.1
53.155.2
Auto13.5
Teleop33.3
End8.3
Second
6194
#23
24.21.6
23.425.0
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End6.9
blue by 1.5
122
#10
25.72.1
24.226.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End7.7
Third
1915
#27
13.11.5
11.813.3
Auto5.1
Teleop2.6
End5.5
blue by 1.1
9003
#19
14.22.1
12.114.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsEarned