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Red77
859226.9
97722.3
923518.9
Blue39
650420.7
33597.4
108615.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63622040801007739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#17
26.90.7
19.018.4
Auto9.2
Teleop11.1
End6.6
red by 6.1
6504
#28
20.72.2
22.820.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End3.1
Second
977
#26
22.30.7
26.125.4
Auto8.2
Teleop9.1
End5.0
red by 7.0
1086
#30
15.32.2
21.519.3
Auto5.9
Teleop1.9
End7.5
Third
9235
#24
18.90.7
13.112.4
Auto7.5
Teleop5.2
End6.2
red by 11.5
3359
#33
7.42.2
14.312.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed