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Red82
188516.1
680232.4
313631.3
Blue109
859226.9
97722.3
34629.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8781406010012082109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.1
32.732.6
Auto13.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
red by 2.9
346
#9
29.60.7
28.929.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End6.9
Second
31.30.1
31.631.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End7.0
red by 4.4
8592
#17
26.90.6
26.326.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.1
End6.6
Third
1885
#31
16.10.1
16.416.3
Auto7.5
Teleop3.6
End5.0
blue by 6.2
977
#26
22.30.6
21.622.2
Auto8.2
Teleop9.1
End5.0