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Red59
99926.5
99716.8
159941.7
Blue22
999912.1
99752.7
99918.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83190501001502005922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.9
44.443.6
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
red by 29.6
9999
#17
12.11.6
15.614.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Second
9971
#27DQ
6.81.4
11.810.3
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.7
End3.5
blue by 2.0
9991
#13
8.71.6
15.714.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End3.5
Third
9992
#15
6.51.4
15.814.4
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End0.9
red by 3.8
9975
#22DQ
2.71.5
4.83.3
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed1%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed