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Red35
99938.5
997211.8
264018.6
Blue68
99918.7
997711.1
159941.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37770501001502003568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#14
18.60.9
19.818.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End3.5
blue by 23.1
41.70.6
42.541.9
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
Second
9972
#21DQ
11.81.6
14.613.0
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 0.7
9977
#23DQ
11.11.0
22.021.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Third
9993
#11
8.51.6
14.813.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 0.2
9991
#13
8.71.0
12.311.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned