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Red100
572442.2
997211.8
999820.7
Blue72
159941.7
997711.1
999912.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64636070809010010072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.22.1
40.842.9
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End8.2
red by 0.4
41.70.2
41.941.7
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
Second
20.73.5
16.720.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End3.4
red by 8.6
9999
#17
12.10.3
12.211.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Third
9972
#21DQ
11.83.3
10.914.2
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 0.7
9977
#23DQ
11.10.3
15.615.3
Auto2.1
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned