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Red75
313634.0
997314.5
999912.1
Blue55
393931.1
997711.1
99918.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595102040801007555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.0
32.333.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.5
End7.9
red by 2.8
31.10.3
30.330.6
Auto7.9
Teleop17.7
End5.4
Second
9973
#24DQ
14.51.7
15.417.1
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End3.9
red by 3.4
9977
#23DQ
11.10.5
10.611.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Third
9999
#17
12.11.7
11.913.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.1
red by 3.4
9991
#13
8.70.5
9.49.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed