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Red36
999912.1
9970-1.3
264018.6
Blue22
99957.5
99752.7
99965.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335001001502002503003504003622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#14
18.61.0
21.820.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End3.5
red by 11.1
9995
#16
7.53.5
16.913.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Second
9999
#17
12.11.6
17.115.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.1
red by 6.8
9996
#18
5.33.5
17.113.7
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End3.7
Third
9970
#26DQ
-1.31.6
1.3-0.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop-0.0
End-0.4
blue by 4.0
9975
#22DQ
2.73.5
19.015.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed