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Red41
999710.3
99716.8
159941.7
Blue51
99926.5
99752.7
680235.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95780501502004151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.73.4
47.844.4
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
red by 6.6
35.21.8
45.843.9
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
Second
9997
#12
10.35.6
21.515.9
Auto0.9
Teleop4.4
End5.1
red by 3.9
9992
#15
6.53.0
18.915.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Third
9971
#27DQ
6.85.6
22.016.5
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.7
End3.5
red by 4.1
9975
#22DQ
2.73.0
13.610.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned