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Red97
680235.2
159941.7
99965.3
Blue60
126214.8
999820.7
99918.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024001502009760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.0
40.740.7
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
red by 21.0
20.70.6
20.120.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Second
35.20.0
34.234.1
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
red by 20.4
1262
#10
14.80.4
14.414.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Third
9996
#18
5.30.1
3.73.7
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End3.7
blue by 3.4
9991
#13
8.70.6
8.18.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End3.5