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Red97
680235.2
159941.7
99965.3
Blue92
314030.9
97725.7
999710.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97750501502002509792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.3
40.741.0
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
red by 10.8
30.90.6
30.330.9
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Second
35.20.3
34.134.4
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
red by 9.5
977
#6
25.70.6
25.125.7
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End7.8
Third
9996
#18
5.30.5
3.74.1
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End3.7
blue by 5.0
9997
#12
10.30.9
9.410.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.4
End5.1