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Red0
997314.5
997211.8
99746.0
Blue1
126214.8
999820.7
99918.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2556010015020001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9973
#24
14.51.2
15.614.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End3.9
blue by 6.2
20.71.6
21.720.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Second
9972
#21
11.81.2
12.911.8
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 3.0
1262
#10
14.81.0
15.514.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Third
9974
#19
6.01.3
7.36.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End2.2
blue by 2.7
9991
#13
8.71.6
9.78.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End3.5