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Red70
680235.2
159941.7
99965.3
Blue116
393931.1
313634.0
99926.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919140608010012070116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.2
40.940.7
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
red by 7.8
34.00.6
34.234.8
Auto9.5
Teleop16.5
End7.9
Second
35.20.2
34.434.2
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
red by 4.0
31.10.6
31.332.0
Auto7.9
Teleop17.7
End5.4
Third
9996
#18
5.30.3
4.13.7
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End3.7
blue by 1.2
9992
#15
6.51.0
6.87.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End0.9