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Red121
61125.5
38453.1
40151.4
Blue114
34640.9
44940.3
108618.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210050150200121114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#3
53.10.4
53.553.1
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End7.9
red by 12.2
346
#6
40.90.1
40.840.9
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End7.7
Second
401
#8
51.40.4
51.851.4
Auto14.5
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 11.1
449
#9
40.30.1
40.240.3
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.6
Third
611
#29
25.50.4
25.925.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End5.7
red by 7.5
1086
#19
18.00.1
17.918.0
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End8.9