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Red66
161032.6
289015.5
524318.9
Blue158
108618.0
152217.7
40151.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639220408010012014066158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#17
32.60.2
30.030.2
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End5.9
blue by 18.8
401
#8
51.41.6
44.345.9
Auto14.5
Teleop30.9
End5.4
Second
5243
#36
18.90.2
22.022.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End6.7
red by 0.9
1086
#19
18.01.6
14.416.0
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End8.9
Third
2890
#34
15.50.2
11.111.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.9
blue by 2.1
1522
#37
17.71.6
24.125.7
Auto7.7
Teleop2.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned