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Red115
61720.4
53918.2
42249.5
Blue102
40422.7
618926.2
447240.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7696204060120140160115102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
49.51.6
37.439.0
Auto14.0
Teleop28.5
End7.0
red by 8.8
4472
#15
40.70.7
38.038.7
Auto12.4
Teleop21.5
End6.4
Second
617
#16
20.41.6
20.922.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End6.2
blue by 5.9
6189
#32
26.20.7
27.628.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End5.6
Third
539
#27
18.21.6
15.216.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End5.5
blue by 4.5
404
#22
22.70.7
21.622.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed