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Red110
54017.1
40151.4
61922.7
Blue112
34640.9
112346.9
61125.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8111950100150200110112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#8
51.41.9
50.352.3
Auto14.5
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 4.5
46.90.3
45.144.8
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End7.3
Second
619
#30
22.71.9
17.819.7
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End5.0
blue by 18.2
346
#6
40.90.3
38.338.0
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End7.7
Third
540
#21
17.11.9
13.014.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End4.2
blue by 8.4
611
#29
25.50.3
23.823.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed