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Red108
61720.4
179321.5
112346.9
Blue102
44940.3
393932.4
447240.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89119406080100140160180108102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.7
45.346.0
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 6.2
4472
#15
40.71.1
40.739.7
Auto12.4
Teleop21.5
End6.4
Second
1793
#23
21.50.7
20.521.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End8.0
blue by 18.8
449
#9
40.31.1
39.138.0
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.6
Third
617
#16
20.40.7
21.322.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End6.2
blue by 12.0
3939
#13
32.41.1
28.026.9
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned