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Red68
61922.7
393932.4
428615.1
Blue112
161032.6
40151.4
572437.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57139010015020068112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
#13
32.40.3
26.927.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.4
blue by 19.0
401
#8
51.40.5
52.552.0
Auto14.5
Teleop30.9
End5.4
Second
619
#30
22.70.3
22.022.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End5.0
blue by 14.6
5724
#11
37.30.5
37.336.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.7
End6.9
Third
4286
#39
15.10.3
14.815.1
Auto0.9
Teleop11.0
End3.3
blue by 17.5
1610
#17
32.60.5
31.430.9
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsMissed