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Red179
680239.8
159946.5
38453.1
Blue126
859022.0
42249.5
447240.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14510650200179126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#3
53.10.2
50.250.0
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End7.9
red by 3.6
422
#4
49.50.8
46.347.1
Auto14.0
Teleop28.5
End7.0
Second
46.50.2
47.247.0
Auto11.9
Teleop24.9
End9.4
red by 5.8
4472
#15
40.70.8
39.740.4
Auto12.4
Teleop21.5
End6.4
Third
6802
#12
39.80.2
35.435.2
Auto13.1
Teleop18.5
End8.0
red by 17.8
8590
#28
22.00.8
18.519.3
Auto7.2
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned