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Red133
447240.7
40151.4
688214.1
Blue101
61922.7
298816.2
159946.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100814060120140160133101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#8
51.41.3
43.044.3
Auto14.5
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 4.9
46.51.2
41.843.0
Auto11.9
Teleop24.9
End9.4
Second
4472
#15
40.71.3
36.738.0
Auto12.4
Teleop21.5
End6.4
red by 18.0
619
#30
22.71.2
18.719.9
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End5.0
Third
6882
#20
14.11.3
11.412.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End5.6
blue by 2.1
2988
#18
16.21.2
17.518.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned