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Red95
61125.5
44940.3
179321.5
Blue116
97729.5
680239.8
34640.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511320406010014016018095116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#9
40.30.8
39.440.2
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.6
blue by 0.6
346
#6
40.90.9
39.340.2
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End7.7
Second
611
#29
25.50.8
23.123.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End5.7
blue by 14.3
6802
#12
39.80.9
35.236.2
Auto13.1
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Third
1793
#23
21.50.8
20.521.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End8.0
blue by 8.0
977
#10
29.50.9
27.728.7
Auto10.6
Teleop11.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned