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Red77
289015.5
34640.9
299815.9
Blue136
393932.4
859022.0
680239.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71942040608012014016077136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#6
40.90.5
40.240.7
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End7.7
red by 1.1
6802
#12
39.82.7
36.238.9
Auto13.1
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Second
2998
#25
15.90.5
14.414.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 16.6
3939
#13
32.42.7
29.832.5
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.4
Third
2890
#34
15.50.5
15.115.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.9
blue by 6.5
8590
#28
22.02.7
19.322.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
25%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned