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Red108
152217.7
210638.7
580454.2
Blue83
161032.6
572437.3
61922.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1269340608014016018010883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.20.1
55.255.1
Auto14.1
Teleop33.4
End6.5
red by 16.9
5724
#11
37.30.3
37.036.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.7
End6.9
Second
38.70.1
39.739.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End8.9
red by 6.1
1610
#17
32.60.3
32.231.9
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End5.9
Third
1522
#37
17.70.1
18.718.6
Auto7.7
Teleop2.2
End7.8
blue by 5.0
619
#30
22.70.3
22.422.1
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End5.0