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Red120
161032.6
572437.3
61922.7
Blue121
97729.5
680239.8
299815.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9886406080120140160120121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#11
37.30.7
36.737.3
Auto9.4
Teleop20.7
End6.9
blue by 2.5
6802
#12
39.80.6
38.939.6
Auto13.1
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Second
1610
#17
32.60.7
31.932.6
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End5.9
red by 3.1
977
#10
29.50.6
28.629.2
Auto10.6
Teleop11.3
End7.6
Third
619
#30
22.70.7
22.122.7
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End5.0
red by 6.9
2998
#25
15.90.6
14.915.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End1.8