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Red122
53914.0
236361.7
580448.8
Blue105
159941.9
313635.0
179316.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13594406080120160180200122105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.0
61.761.7
Auto14.5
Teleop38.4
End8.3
red by 19.9
41.90.3
41.842.0
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Second
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto12.6
Teleop29.3
End6.5
red by 13.8
35.00.3
34.935.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.6
Third
539
#27
14.00.0
14.014.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End6.7
blue by 2.7
1793
#23
16.70.3
16.616.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4