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Red28
206811.3
53914.0
38436.8
Blue39
299814.5
595412.9
450516.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67260204060801001202839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#5
36.83.3
25.021.7
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
red by 20.6
4505
#17
16.20.6
9.09.6
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End6.3
Second
539
#27
14.03.3
19.416.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End6.7
blue by 0.5
2998
#16
14.51.0
12.213.3
Auto0.5
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Third
2068
#22
11.33.3
12.99.7
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End4.0
blue by 1.6
5954
#24
12.91.0
8.39.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed5%Activation oddsMissed