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Red48
161030.8
29128.5
61718.9
Blue64
159941.9
832623.4
289011.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64674050607080904864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#14
30.81.4
32.431.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
blue by 11.1
41.90.2
31.031.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Second
617
#9
18.91.4
15.714.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End4.9
blue by 4.5
8326
#11
23.40.1
21.121.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
2912
#29DQ
8.51.4
12.110.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 3.3
2890
#28
11.80.2
9.910.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed