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Red59
299814.5
38436.8
61718.9
Blue11
450516.2
44647.5
29128.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684602060801001201405911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#5
36.83.5
25.121.6
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
red by 20.6
4505
#17DQ
16.22.3
11.49.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End6.3
Second
617
#9
18.93.5
16.613.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End4.9
red by 10.4
2912
#29DQ
8.53.9
19.315.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Third
2998
#16
14.53.5
19.115.6
Auto0.5
Teleop11.0
End3.0
red by 7.0
4464
#26DQ
7.53.9
15.111.2
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed