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Red89
742921.9
289011.8
580448.8
Blue46
618927.7
179316.7
190833.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807840601001208946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.0
43.744.8
Auto12.6
Teleop29.3
End6.5
red by 15.4
33.42.2
30.027.8
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End8.9
Second
7429
#18
21.91.0
23.524.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End8.1
blue by 5.8
6189
#10
27.73.6
23.319.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End6.8
Third
2890
#28
11.81.0
7.68.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End4.5
blue by 5.0
1793
#23
16.73.6
20.116.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed