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Red44
428610.3
921416.8
161030.8
Blue69
61718.9
152222.5
450516.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674602060801001201404469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#14
30.83.8
31.828.0
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
red by 8.3
1522
#12
22.52.6
16.318.9
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End8.3
Second
9214
#15
16.83.8
18.915.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 2.1
617
#9
18.92.6
16.519.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Third
4286
#20
10.34.0
9.65.6
Auto1.0
Teleop5.7
End3.7
blue by 5.8
4505
#17
16.21.6
12.914.4
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsEarned