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Red47
179316.7
159941.9
862211.2
Blue75
832623.4
38436.8
921416.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686850606570754775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.7
37.635.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 5.1
384
#5
36.81.3
28.029.2
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
Second
1793
#23
16.71.7
16.514.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
blue by 6.6
8326
#11
23.40.8
20.321.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
8622
#13
11.21.1
9.38.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End4.6
blue by 5.6
9214
#15
16.81.1
15.216.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsMissed