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Red80
190833.4
159941.9
44647.5
Blue45
33597.9
428610.3
53914.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions892204060801001201401608045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.4
36.937.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 27.8
539
#27
14.01.0
14.515.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End6.7
Second
33.40.3
29.930.2
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End8.9
red by 23.1
4286
#20
10.31.1
7.48.5
Auto1.0
Teleop5.7
End3.7
Third
4464
#26
7.50.4
8.38.7
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.1
End3.4
blue by 0.4
3359
#25
7.90.7
7.07.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned8%Activation oddsMissed