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Red75
832623.4
595412.9
152222.5
Blue51
179316.7
742921.9
40419.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57622040801007551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8326
#11
23.40.7
22.223.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End4.4
red by 1.5
7429
#18
21.90.9
22.821.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End8.1
Second
1522
#12
22.50.9
21.021.9
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End8.3
red by 3.1
404
#21
19.40.7
18.317.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End4.4
Third
5954
#24
12.90.9
11.212.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End3.9
blue by 3.8
1793
#23
16.70.9
16.115.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed