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Red78
61718.9
12228.8
190833.4
Blue93
832623.4
450516.2
236361.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75114501001507893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.2
30.230.4
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End8.9
blue by 28.3
61.70.6
62.862.2
Auto14.5
Teleop38.4
End8.3
Second
122
#8
28.80.2
27.327.5
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End8.3
red by 5.5
8326
#11
23.40.6
23.022.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
617
#9
18.90.3
17.617.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End4.9
red by 2.7
4505
#17
16.20.6
16.015.4
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed