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Red108
236361.7
152222.5
202833.0
Blue110
40419.4
190833.4
580448.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10686050150200108110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.4
54.454.7
Auto14.5
Teleop38.4
End8.3
red by 12.9
48.82.4
32.234.6
Auto12.6
Teleop29.3
End6.5
Second
33.00.4
21.922.3
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End5.1
blue by 0.5
33.41.4
31.132.5
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End8.9
Third
1522
#12
22.50.6
21.021.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End8.3
red by 3.1
404
#21
19.41.4
20.221.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned