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Red105
206811.3
313635.0
159941.9
Blue88
202833.0
161030.8
862211.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9476020406012014016010588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.4
41.041.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 8.9
33.00.3
32.733.0
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End5.1
Second
35.00.4
34.134.5
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.6
red by 4.2
1610
#14
30.80.3
30.530.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Third
2068
#22
11.30.5
10.811.3
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End4.0
red by 0.2
8622
#13
11.20.3
10.811.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End4.6