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Red116
42253.7
997719.0
479546.9
Blue68
159940.3
99994.5
202833.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610240608014016018011668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
53.71.6
56.154.5
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End6.0
red by 13.4
40.32.5
39.336.8
Auto14.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
Second
4795
#16
46.91.6
50.849.3
Auto12.3
Teleop25.7
End9.0
red by 13.8
2028
#21
33.12.5
39.937.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.6
End4.3
Third
9977
#27
19.02.6
17.414.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End4.8
red by 14.5
9999
#24
4.54.1
15.611.5
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsMissed