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Qual 212023 Rumble in the Roads
Red120
12234.2
159940.3
161034.2
Blue105
236362.3
99827.2
999522.8
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11694050150200250300120105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#5
40.31.0
36.0→37.0
Auto14.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
blue by 22.0
2363
#10
62.30.7
62.2→62.9
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.0
Second
122
#15
34.21.0
34.9→35.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End8.4
red by 11.5
9995
#9
22.81.1
22.9→24.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End6.5
Third
1610
#11
34.21.0
33.6→34.6
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End5.9
red by 27.0
9982
#28
7.21.1
9.9→11.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned