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Red87
479546.9
999522.8
61920.2
Blue81
997515.9
12234.2
40143.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99870501508781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#16
46.90.2
47.146.8
Auto12.3
Teleop25.7
End9.0
red by 3.3
401
#14
43.70.6
42.642.0
Auto11.5
Teleop27.0
End4.6
Second
22.80.4
24.023.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End6.5
blue by 11.5
122
#15
34.20.6
35.935.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End8.4
Third
619
#6
20.20.2
19.419.2
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End5.4
red by 4.3
9975
#22
15.91.1
12.111.0
Auto0.7
Teleop9.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed