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Red124
580450.3
264260.1
33598.9
Blue98
999522.8
313633.6
12234.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289605015020025012498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.10.5
59.960.4
Auto16.3
Teleop34.4
End8.5
red by 25.8
122
#15
34.20.4
34.835.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End8.4
Second
50.30.5
48.448.9
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End8.0
red by 16.7
3136
#13
33.60.4
33.533.9
Auto9.0
Teleop18.7
End6.0
Third
3359
#19
8.90.5
8.38.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.6
blue by 13.9
22.80.7
23.624.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned