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Red60
298023.0
290726.1
803223.5
Blue101
413143.2
307035.3
326815.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639305015060101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#13
26.10.2
24.824.7
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End8.7
blue by 17.1
4131
#11
43.20.0
44.144.1
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.1
Second
8032
#21
23.50.2
17.717.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End4.5
blue by 11.7
35.30.0
28.128.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.9
End10.1
Third
23.00.2
20.019.9
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End7.9
red by 7.7
3268
#15
15.30.0
11.311.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned