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Red80
290615.6
292917.2
413143.2
Blue109
339318.6
582725.5
131856.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759420406012014016080109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#11
43.20.2
45.645.8
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.1
blue by 12.9
56.11.5
47.549.1
Auto15.4
Teleop32.0
End8.5
Second
2929
#26
17.20.2
13.814.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End5.9
blue by 8.3
5827
#27
25.51.5
26.928.4
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.2
Third
2906
#18
15.60.3
13.013.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End7.7
blue by 3.0
3393
#29
18.61.5
11.513.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned