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Red60
358822.7
568322.3
298023.0
Blue101
830316.5
366353.2
418019.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5493020408010012014016060101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.3
19.920.2
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End7.9
blue by 30.2
53.20.9
45.246.1
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End7.8
Second
3588
#17
22.70.3
18.919.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End6.4
red by 2.7
4180
#28
19.90.9
19.520.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Third
5683
#22
22.30.3
16.416.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.2
End7.0
red by 5.8
8303
#16
16.50.9
17.418.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned