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Red120
321925.7
358822.7
366353.2
Blue84
290726.1
457920.9
491825.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976940608012014016012084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.9
48.150.0
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End7.8
red by 27.1
2907
#13
26.10.4
26.026.4
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End8.7
Second
3219
#12
25.71.9
19.321.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End6.7
red by 0.1
4918
#10
25.50.4
23.523.9
Auto9.2
Teleop8.5
End7.9
Third
3588
#17
22.71.9
19.821.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End6.4
red by 1.8
4579
#24
20.90.4
18.518.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned